Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Bukavu Dawa and Etoile de Kivu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etoile de Kivu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Etoile de Kivu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Etoile de Kivu carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Etoile de Kivu a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 18%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bukavu Dawa | Etoile de Kivu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Etoile de Kivu
0:1
Nov 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Bukavu Dawa
3:1
Mar 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Etoile de Kivu
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Bukavu Dawa
0:1
Jan 23, 2018 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Etoile de Kivu
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bukavu Dawa 12 / 100
Etoile de Kivu 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bukavu Dawa Etoile de Kivu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etoile de Kivu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Bukavu Dawa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Bukavu Dawa found the back of the net in 35% of recent matches (26 games).
Scoring Trends
Bukavu Dawa VS Etoile de Kivu
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bukavu Dawa
(Home) 14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0 AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1 FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0 AS Maniema
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1 FC MK Etancheite
28 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 1 AC Rangers
07 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
24 Jan
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0 Celeste
Page 1 of 3
Etoile de Kivu
(Away) 15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3 Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0 Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3 Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0 Etoile de Kivu
22 Feb
AS Maniema
3 : 2 Etoile de Kivu
07 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
