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Bukovyna vs Dynamo Kyiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 Ternopilsky Misky Stadion, Ternopil
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Redushko B.
23' Event
Ponomarenko M.
Assist: Voloshyn N.
28'
Sub
Busko A. In: Morgovskyi Y.
Out: Busko A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Dynamo Kyiv advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bukovyna
20%
Draws
47%
Dynamo Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dynamo Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dynamo Kyiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Dynamo Kyiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Kyiv, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dynamo Kyiv here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bukovyna Clean Sheet 20%
Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bukovyna Dynamo Kyiv
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Premier League
Bukovyna vs Dynamo Kyiv
3:0
Apr 21, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Bukovyna vs Dynamo Kyiv
0:3
Apr 23, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Bukovyna vs Dynamo Kyiv
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bukovyna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dynamo Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponomarenko M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Voloshyn N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bukovyna 32 / 100
Dynamo Kyiv 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bukovyna Dynamo Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Bukovyna found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Dynamo Kyiv has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Bukovyna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bukovyna VS Dynamo Kyiv
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bukovyna

(Home)
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
16 Sept
Bukovyna
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Kyiv

(Away)
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
14 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0
Epitsentr
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
06 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
31 Aug
Bukovyna
3 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3