Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BUL vs Calvary

Uganda Uganda

Premier League FUFA Technical Centre, Njeru
BUL Logo

BUL

5 - 1
FT
Calvary Logo

Calvary

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kirya J.
26' Event
Wagoina I.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Ndugwa K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BUL in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BUL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
BUL
35%
Draws
47%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Calvary haven't matched BUL's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Calvary taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
BUL Clean Sheet 26%
Calvary Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BUL Calvary
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs Calvary
5:1
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Calvary vs BUL
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagoina I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kirya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Calvary Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojok E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BUL 30 / 100
Calvary 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BUL Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: BUL scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Calvary let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: BUL stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BUL VS Calvary
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BUL

(Home)
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
19 May
BUL
1 : 1
Kitara
12 May
BUL
0 : 0
Lugazi
08 May
Villa
0 : 0
BUL
28 Apr
BUL
0 : 1
NEC FC
Page 1 of 6

Calvary

(Away)
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
06 May
Calvary
1 : 0
Police
29 Apr
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 0
Calvary
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)