Sport Picks

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BUL vs Calvary

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 FUFA Technical Centre, Njeru
BUL Logo

BUL

5 - 1
FT
Calvary Logo

Calvary

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kirya J.
26' Event
Wagoina I.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Ndugwa K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BUL in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BUL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
BUL
20%
Draws
32%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Calvary haven't matched BUL's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on BUL taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
BUL Clean Sheet 68%
Calvary Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BUL Calvary
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.26 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs Calvary
5:1
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Calvary vs BUL
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagoina I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kirya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Calvary Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojok E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BUL 68 / 100
Calvary 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BUL Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: BUL scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Calvary let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: BUL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BUL VS Calvary
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BUL

(Home)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
Page 1 of 7

Calvary

(Away)
04 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 0
Calvary
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
06 May
Calvary
1 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)