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BUL vs Express FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Premier League FUFA Technical Centre, Njeru
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mpasa S.
Assist: Byabacwezi D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between BUL and Express FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BUL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
BUL
15%
Draws
21%
Express FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • BUL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans BUL's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
BUL Clean Sheet 20%
Express FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BUL Express FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.3 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs Express FC
1:0
Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Express FC vs BUL
0:2
Oct 30, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Express FC
0:0
Feb 12, 2025 Premier League
Express FC vs BUL
0:2
Nov 21, 2024 Premier League
BUL vs Express FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpasa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Express FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BUL 36 / 100
Express FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BUL Express FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BUL scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Express FC let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

BUL went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Express FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

BUL VS Express FC
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BUL

(Home)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
Page 1 of 6

Express FC

(Away)
17 Sept
Express FC
1 : 1
Kitara
09 Sept
Villa
2 : 0
Express FC
03 Sept
Express FC
2 : 0
Kampala City
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Vipers
2 : 0
Express FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)