Sport Picks

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BUL vs Lugazi

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 FUFA Technical Centre, Njeru
BUL Logo

BUL

0 - 0
FT
Lugazi Logo

Lugazi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
BUL
15%
Draws
28%
Lugazi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BUL lately — more wins on the board than Lugazi.
  • BUL are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
BUL Clean Sheet 68%
Lugazi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BUL Lugazi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.24 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs Lugazi
0:0
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Lugazi vs BUL
2:1
Apr 29, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Lugazi
4:0
Jan 3, 2025 Premier League
Lugazi vs BUL
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BUL 86 / 100
Lugazi 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BUL Lugazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BUL scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Lugazi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

BUL went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BUL VS Lugazi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BUL

(Home)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
Page 1 of 6

Lugazi

(Away)
16 Sept
Lugazi
0 : 2
Police
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1
Lugazi
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Lugazi
2 : 1
Kigezi HomeBoyz
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)