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BUL vs Lugazi

Uganda Uganda

Premier League FUFA Technical Centre, Njeru
BUL Logo

BUL

0 - 0
FT
Lugazi Logo

Lugazi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
BUL
35%
Draws
41%
Lugazi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lugazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BUL lately — more wins on the board than Lugazi.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
BUL Clean Sheet 20%
Lugazi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BUL Lugazi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs Lugazi
0:0
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Lugazi vs BUL
2:1
Apr 29, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Lugazi
4:0
Jan 3, 2025 Premier League
Lugazi vs BUL
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BUL 32 / 100
Lugazi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BUL Lugazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BUL scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Lugazi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

BUL went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BUL VS Lugazi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BUL

(Home)
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
19 May
BUL
1 : 1
Kitara
12 May
BUL
0 : 0
Lugazi
08 May
Villa
0 : 0
BUL
28 Apr
BUL
0 : 1
NEC FC
Page 1 of 6

Lugazi

(Away)
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
19 May
Express FC
0 : 0
Lugazi
12 May
BUL
0 : 0
Lugazi
06 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Mbarara City
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)