Sport Picks

Uganda

Premier League FUFA Technical Centre

BUL

2 - 5

UPDF FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Ochen E.

34'

Ssewagudde D.

39'

Bogere I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UPDF FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored UPDF FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

BUL

28%

Draws

22%

UPDF FC

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

BUL have won more games recently than UPDF FC.
Model gives BUL a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

BUL Clean Sheet 68%

UPDF FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	BUL	UPDF FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	5
Draws	10	7
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	0.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Premier League

BUL vs UPDF FC

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

2:5

Jan 30, 2026 Premier League

UPDF FC vs BUL

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

May 24, 2025 Premier League

UPDF FC vs BUL

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

Dec 4, 2024 Premier League

BUL vs UPDF FC

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Mar 12, 2024 Premier League

BUL vs UPDF FC

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssewagudde D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Onek H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

UPDF FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochen E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bogere I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BUL 59 / 100

UPDF FC 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

BUL UPDF FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: BUL scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

UPDF FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: BUL stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BUL VS UPDF FC

0.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vipers	30	19	10	1	55:17	67
2	Kampala City	30	19	5	6	46:22	62
3	Villa	30	18	7	5	47:17	61
4	Kitara	30	16	8	6	43:22	56
5	Entebbe UPPC	30	14	9	7	30:20	51
6	NEC FC	30	13	12	5	31:22	51
7	Police	30	13	8	9	42:35	47
8	Maroons	30	9	11	10	26:27	38
9	BUL	30	9	10	11	30:33	37
10	Express FC	30	9	10	11	28:31	37
11	Uganda Revenue	30	5	16	9	27:30	31
12	Mbarara City	30	6	9	15	26:46	27
13	Lugazi	30	5	10	15	19:36	25
14	UPDF FC	30	5	7	18	24:41	22
15	Calvary	30	4	9	17	14:39	21
16	Buhimba	30	4	3	23	16:66	15