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Bula vs Vanuatu United

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Sun, May 17, 2026
1 - 2
03:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sela J.
90'
Diho R.
90' Event
Soromon A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bula
15%
Draws
65%
Vanuatu United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vanuatu United lately — more wins on the board than Bula.
  • Model gives Vanuatu United a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Vanuatu United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vanuatu United, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vanuatu United have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Bula Clean Sheet 15%
Vanuatu United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bula Vanuatu United
Matches Played 18 21
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.94 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 OFC Pro League
Bula vs Vanuatu United
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 OFC Pro League
Bula vs Vanuatu United
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs Bula
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bula Compare

Top Goalscorer Sela J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vanuatu United Compare

Top Goalscorer Soromon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haruel R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bula 19 / 100
Vanuatu United 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bula Vanuatu United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu United let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bula found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (18 games).

Recent resilience: Bula stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bula VS Vanuatu United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bula

(Home)
17 May
Bula
1 : 2
Vanuatu United
12 May
South Melbourne
4 : 2
Bula
09 May
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
Bula
06 May
Bula
0 : 1
South Island United
18 Apr
Bula
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 4

Vanuatu United

(Away)
12 Sept
Vanuatu United
1 : 0
Central Coast
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2
Central Coast
20 May
South Melbourne
4 : 0
Vanuatu United
17 May
Bula
1 : 2
Vanuatu United
13 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
Vanuatu United
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Melbourne -
TBD -
Bula 1
Vanuatu United 2
Auckland FC 2 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Island United -
Semi-finals
South Melbourne 4
Vanuatu United 0
Auckland FC 2 1
South Island United 0
Final
South Melbourne 1
Auckland FC 2 2