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Bulgaria U19 vs Moldova U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kaymakanov V.
23' Event
Bachev P.
40' Event
Lyubenov V.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Bulgaria U19 and Moldova U19 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bulgaria U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bulgaria U19
30%
Draws
33%
Moldova U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moldova U19 come out ahead of Bulgaria U19 on wins alone.
  • Bulgaria U19 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bulgaria U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Moldova U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U19 Moldova U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
1:0
Oct 15, 2024 Friendly International
Bulgaria U19 vs Moldova U19
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Friendly International
Bulgaria U19 vs Moldova U19
4:1
Feb 1, 2021 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bachev P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaymakanov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53

Moldova U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciobanu I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U19 36 / 100
Moldova U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U19 Moldova U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U19's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Moldova U19 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bulgaria U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U19 VS Moldova U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U19

(Home)
29 Sept
Bulgaria U19
0 : 1
Romania U19
26 Sept
Hungary U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
24 Sept
Serbia U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
07 Jun
Bulgaria U19
3 : 0
Albania U19
04 Jun
Bulgaria U19
1 : 0
Albania U19
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Moldova U19

(Away)
29 Sept
Moldova U19
0 : 1
Cyprus U19
27 Sept
Moldova U19
2 : 1
Cyprus U19
31 Mar
Moldova U19
1 : 1
North Macedonia U19
28 Mar
Faroe Islands U19
0 : 2
Moldova U19
25 Mar
Netherlands U19
1 : 0
Moldova U19
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