Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria U21 vs Gibraltar U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lazarov G.
Assist: Rupanov B.
26' Event
Lazarov G.
41'
Carrington T.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Bulgaria U21 and Gibraltar U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bulgaria U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bulgaria U21
15%
Draws
0%
Gibraltar U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulgaria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gibraltar U21 haven't matched Bulgaria U21's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bulgaria U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bulgaria U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Gibraltar U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U21 Gibraltar U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 9 2
Losses 10 27
Goals Scored 1.19 0.2
Goals Conceded 1 3.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21
Gibraltar U21 vs Bulgaria U21
0:1
Sep 5, 2025 Euro U21
Bulgaria U21 vs Gibraltar U21
3:0
Jun 11, 2022 Euro U21
Gibraltar U21 vs Bulgaria U21
1:1
Oct 8, 2021 Euro U21
Bulgaria U21 vs Gibraltar U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazarov G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Gibraltar U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U21 95 / 100
Gibraltar U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U21 Gibraltar U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gibraltar U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Gibraltar U21 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Bulgaria U21 scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U21 VS Gibraltar U21
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U21

(Home)
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
Page 1 of 7

Gibraltar U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Czech Republic U21
5 : 0
Gibraltar U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
18 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Azerbaijan U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)