Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria U21 vs Montenegro U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Strikovic V.
40'
Papazov M.
43' Event
Papazov M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Bulgaria U21 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bulgaria U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bulgaria U21
35%
Draws
15%
Montenegro U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bulgaria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Montenegro U21 haven't matched Bulgaria U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bulgaria U21 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Montenegro U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U21 Montenegro U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2023 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Montenegro U21
1:0
Sep 11, 2018 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Bulgaria U21
0:0
Nov 14, 2017 Euro U21
Bulgaria U21 vs Montenegro U21
3:1
Mar 3, 2010 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Bulgaria U21
2:0
Oct 10, 2009 Euro U21
Bulgaria U21 vs Montenegro U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Montenegro U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U21 76 / 100
Montenegro U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U21 Montenegro U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U21 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bulgaria U21's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Bulgaria U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U21 VS Montenegro U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Czech Republic U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
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Montenegro U21

(Away)
01 Oct
North Macedonia U21
1 : 1
Montenegro U21
05 Jun
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Cyprus U21
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
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