Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia

Bulgaria

2 - 1

Georgia

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Rusev G.

Assist: Dimitrov Z.

24'

Krastev F.

Assist: Dimitrov Z.

30'

Kiteishvili O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Bulgaria and Georgia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bulgaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Bulgaria

30%

Draws

31%

Georgia

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Georgia come out ahead of Bulgaria on wins alone.
39% — that's where the model lands on Bulgaria taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Bulgaria Clean Sheet 10%

Georgia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bulgaria	Georgia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	13
Draws	10	6
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.03	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship

Bulgaria vs Georgia

2:1

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Georgia vs Bulgaria

3:0

Jun 12, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Georgia vs Bulgaria

0:0

Jun 5, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria vs Georgia

2:5

Sep 8, 2021 Friendly International

Bulgaria vs Georgia

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rusev G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Krastev F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.49

Avg xA / game 0.97

Georgia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lochoshvili L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.99

Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria 83 / 100

Georgia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bulgaria Georgia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Georgia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Bulgaria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bulgaria found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria VS Georgia

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria

(Home)

05 Jun

Moldova

2 : 2

Bulgaria

01 Jun

Bulgaria

0 : 1

Montenegro

30 Mar

Indonesia

0 : 1

Bulgaria

27 Mar

Solomon Islands

2 : 10

Bulgaria

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

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Georgia

(Away)

05 Jun

Georgia

2 : 0

Bahrain

02 Jun

Georgia

1 : 1

Romania

29 Mar

Lithuania

0 : 2

Georgia

26 Mar

Georgia

2 : 2

Israel

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

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