Sport Picks
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
Europe
UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv 
Match Events
4'
4'
Kolev A.
18'
18'
Curci A.
20'
20'
Antov V.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Bulgaria and Luxembourg finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulgaria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Luxembourg carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Bulgaria a 45% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bulgaria Clean Sheet 68%
Luxembourg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bulgaria | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
0:0
Nov 20, 2022 Friendly International
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
0:0
Oct 10, 2017 World Championship
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
1:1
Sep 6, 2016 World Championship
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bulgaria 59 / 100
Luxembourg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bulgaria Luxembourg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bulgaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Luxembourg has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Bulgaria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Bulgaria scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bulgaria VS Luxembourg
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bulgaria
(Home) 05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2 Bulgaria
01 Jun
Bulgaria
0 : 1 Montenegro
30 Mar
Indonesia
0 : 1 Bulgaria
27 Mar
Solomon Islands
2 : 10 Bulgaria
18 Nov
Bulgaria
2 : 1 Georgia
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Bulgaria
0 : 1 Montenegro
18 Nov
Bulgaria
2 : 1 Georgia
11 Oct
Bulgaria
1 : 6 Turkey
04 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 3 Spain
06 Jun
Bulgaria
2 : 2 Cyprus
Page 1 of 3
Luxembourg
(Away) 06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Luxembourg
03 Jun
Luxembourg
0 : 1 Italy
31 Mar
Luxembourg
3 : 0 Malta
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2 Luxembourg
17 Nov
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Luxembourg
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06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Luxembourg
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2 Luxembourg
17 Nov
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Luxembourg
13 Oct
Slovakia
2 : 0 Luxembourg
10 Oct
Germany
4 : 0 Luxembourg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
