Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria W vs Croatia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Spajic H.
49'
Sub
Rasina P. In: Yaneva A.
Out: Rasina P.
59'
Sub
Orkic L. In: Pezelj P.
Out: Orkic L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bulgaria W
15%
Draws
57%
Croatia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Croatia W lately — more wins on the board than Bulgaria W.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Croatia W taking it.
  • Croatia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Croatia W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Croatia W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Bulgaria W Clean Sheet 14%
Croatia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria W Croatia W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.59 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Croatia W vs Bulgaria W
4:0
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Bulgaria W vs Croatia W
0:1
Jun 17, 2019 Friendly International Women
Bulgaria W vs Croatia W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8

Croatia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vunic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria W 10 / 100
Croatia W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria W Croatia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Croatia W conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bulgaria W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Bulgaria W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria W VS Croatia W
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria W

(Home)
09 Jun
Croatia W
4 : 0
Bulgaria W
05 Jun
Bulgaria W
3 : 1
Gibraltar W
18 Apr
Kosovo W
2 : 1
Bulgaria W
14 Apr
Bulgaria W
1 : 3
Kosovo W
07 Mar
Gibraltar W
0 : 5
Bulgaria W
Page 1 of 6

Croatia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Croatia W
4 : 0
Bulgaria W
05 Jun
Kosovo W
0 : 1
Croatia W
18 Apr
Croatia W
9 : 0
Gibraltar W
14 Apr
Gibraltar W
0 : 1
Croatia W
07 Mar
Croatia W
0 : 1
Kosovo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lithuania W 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 3 2 1 23:5 11
3 Estonia W 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 0 6 3:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kosovo W 6 5 0 1 20:3 15
2 Croatia W 6 5 0 1 16:1 15
3 Bulgaria W 6 2 0 4 10:11 6
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 1:32 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hungary W 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Azerbaijan W 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 North Macedonia W 6 2 0 4 5:17 6
4 Andorra W 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greece W 4 4 0 0 11:4 12
2 Faroe Islands W 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
3 Georgia W 4 0 0 4 4:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania W 4 3 1 0 8:0 10
2 Moldova W 4 1 2 1 2:1 5
3 Cyprus W 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus W 4 3 0 1 10:1 9
2 Kazakhstan W 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Armenia W 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams