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Bulgaria W vs Kosovo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Yaneva A.
Assist: Petrova L.
15' Event
Memeti E.
21' Event
Smaili B.
Assist: Halilaj D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bulgaria W
15%
Draws
57%
Kosovo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kosovo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kosovo W have won more games recently than Bulgaria W.
  • Win probability leans Kosovo W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kosovo W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kosovo W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kosovo W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Bulgaria W Clean Sheet 10%
Kosovo W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria W Kosovo W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Kosovo W vs Bulgaria W
2:1
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Bulgaria W vs Kosovo W
1:3
Dec 1, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Kosovo W vs Bulgaria W
5:1
Sep 26, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Bulgaria W vs Kosovo W
0:0
Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International Women
Bulgaria W vs Kosovo W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaneva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kosovo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Memeti E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smaili B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria W 10 / 100
Kosovo W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria W Kosovo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kosovo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Bulgaria W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Kosovo W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Bulgaria W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria W VS Kosovo W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria W

(Home)
09 Jun
Croatia W
4 : 0
Bulgaria W
05 Jun
Bulgaria W
3 : 1
Gibraltar W
18 Apr
Kosovo W
2 : 1
Bulgaria W
14 Apr
Bulgaria W
1 : 3
Kosovo W
07 Mar
Gibraltar W
0 : 5
Bulgaria W
Page 1 of 6

Kosovo W

(Away)
09 Jun
Gibraltar W
0 : 8
Kosovo W
05 Jun
Kosovo W
0 : 1
Croatia W
18 Apr
Kosovo W
2 : 1
Bulgaria W
14 Apr
Bulgaria W
1 : 3
Kosovo W
07 Mar
Croatia W
0 : 1
Kosovo W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lithuania W 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 3 2 1 23:5 11
3 Estonia W 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 0 6 3:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kosovo W 6 5 0 1 20:3 15
2 Croatia W 6 5 0 1 16:1 15
3 Bulgaria W 6 2 0 4 10:11 6
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 1:32 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hungary W 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Azerbaijan W 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 North Macedonia W 6 2 0 4 5:17 6
4 Andorra W 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greece W 4 4 0 0 11:4 12
2 Faroe Islands W 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
3 Georgia W 4 0 0 4 4:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania W 4 3 1 0 8:0 10
2 Moldova W 4 1 2 1 2:1 5
3 Cyprus W 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus W 4 3 0 1 10:1 9
2 Kazakhstan W 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Armenia W 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams