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BumProm Gomel vs Volna Pinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga SDYuShOR-6 Stadium, Gomel
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BumProm Gomel host Volna Pinsk in the Pershaya Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. BumProm Gomel have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Volna Pinsk's 1.57 scored and 1.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Volna Pinsk slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.25) point toward BumProm Gomel. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
BumProm Gomel
20%
Draws
10%
Volna Pinsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BumProm Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • BumProm Gomel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives BumProm Gomel a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 19%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BumProm Gomel Volna Pinsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs BumProm Gomel
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs BumProm Gomel
0:1
May 3, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Volna Pinsk
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs BumProm Gomel
3:0
May 4, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Volna Pinsk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 85 / 100
Volna Pinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BumProm Gomel Volna Pinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BumProm Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BumProm Gomel's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Volna Pinsk conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

BumProm Gomel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BumProm Gomel VS Volna Pinsk
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BumProm Gomel

(Home)
10 Oct
Soligorsk
3 : 1
BumProm Gomel
04 Oct
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1
FC Minsk 2
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3
BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
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Volna Pinsk

(Away)
10 Oct
Osipovichi
1 : 1
Volna Pinsk
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
Slutsk
1 : 0
Volna Pinsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 28 18 6 4 57:28 60
2 Niva Dolbizno 28 18 4 6 72:33 58
3 FK Lida 28 18 3 7 52:43 57
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
5 FC Slonim 28 15 5 8 51:33 50
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 Soligorsk 28 12 7 9 55:45 43
8 BumProm Gomel 28 12 5 11 53:44 41
9 Smorgon 28 10 6 12 35:36 36
10 Ostrovets 28 8 11 9 38:41 35
11 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
12 Volna Pinsk 28 10 5 13 41:51 35
13 FC Minsk 2 28 9 3 16 37:52 30
14 Orsha 28 7 6 15 28:52 27
15 Uni X Labs 27 6 8 13 25:36 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 28 5 6 17 38:60 21
18 Osipovichi 28 5 5 18 30:68 20
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)