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BumProm Gomel vs Zhodino Yuzhnoe

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vospukov M.
17' Event
Simonchik D.
20' Event
Bogdanov A.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2023 game between BumProm Gomel and Zhodino Yuzhnoe finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BumProm Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
BumProm Gomel
6%
Draws
90%
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zhodino Yuzhnoe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BumProm Gomel come out ahead of Zhodino Yuzhnoe on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zhodino Yuzhnoe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 17%
Zhodino Yuzhnoe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BumProm Gomel Zhodino Yuzhnoe
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Zhodino Yuzhnoe vs BumProm Gomel
2:3
Aug 5, 2023 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Zhodino Yuzhnoe
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Vospukov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abramov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Zhodino Yuzhnoe Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonchik D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bogdanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 10 / 100
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BumProm Gomel Zhodino Yuzhnoe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BumProm Gomel scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Zhodino Yuzhnoe conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

BumProm Gomel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BumProm Gomel VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Dzerzhinsk32263386:3081
2Dnepr Mogilev32227375:2473
3Vitebsk32234568:2273
4Lokomotiv Gomel32195855:4062
5ML Vitebsk32194984:5261
6FK Baranovici321461246:4948
7Zhodino Yuzhnoe321371262:5246
8Volna Pinsk321271341:4943
9Niva Dolbizno321251553:6641
10FK Lida321251544:4841
11Molodechno321181351:5641
12Ostrovets321091354:6239
13BumProm Gomel321081445:6238
14Orsha32871750:6231
15FC Slonim32572026:6322
16Petrikov32642233:7222
17Osipovichi32122921:855