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Bunyodkor vs Gagra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bunyodkor
20%
Draws
50%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gagra at 1.23 per game, Bunyodkor at 1.07.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 13%
Gagra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Gagra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 12
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Bunyodkor vs Gagra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 31 / 100
Gagra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gagra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bunyodkor scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bunyodkor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Gagra
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
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Gagra

(Away)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
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