Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bunyodkor vs Mashal Muborak

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bunyodkor host Mashal Muborak in the Super League. This has Bunyodkor written all over it on paper. Bunyodkor have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Mashal Muborak's 0.55 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Bunyodkor slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.50) back Bunyodkor to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bunyodkor
15%
Draws
0%
Mashal Muborak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bunyodkor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mashal Muborak haven't matched Bunyodkor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bunyodkor a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 16%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Mashal Muborak
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.1 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Bunyodkor
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Mashal Muborak
2:1
May 26, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Bunyodkor
1:1
Aug 6, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Bunyodkor
1:1
Mar 10, 2021 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Mashal Muborak
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 48 / 100
Mashal Muborak 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Mashal Muborak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bunyodkor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mashal Muborak conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Mashal Muborak lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bunyodkor scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Mashal Muborak
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

Mashal Muborak

(Away)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)