Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bunyodkor vs Metallurg Bekabad

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2024 Milliy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Turakulov A.
Assist: Abdukholikov T.
46'
Sub
Mukimzhonov A. In: Olimzhonov M.
Out: Mukimzhonov A.
55'
Sub
Toshkuziev A. In: Ergashboev A.
Out: Toshkuziev A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Bunyodkor
17%
Draws
70%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bunyodkor have won more games recently than Metallurg Bekabad.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Metallurg Bekabad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 13%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:1
Jun 14, 2024 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Bunyodkor
0:0
Nov 23, 2023 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:0
May 27, 2023 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Bunyodkor
1:1
Oct 7, 2022 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Bunyodkor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bunyodkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Turakulov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumazhidov O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 14 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Metallurg Bekabad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bunyodkor scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Metallurg Bekabad conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Bunyodkor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Metallurg Bekabad
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nasaf Qarshi26157435:1852
2OKMK26145740:2947
3Navbahor Namangan261110542:3143
4Sogdiana26127741:2943
5Neftchi Fargona261110532:2443
6Pakhtakor261151042:3738
7Termez Surkhon261061030:3136
8Din. Samarkand26951235:3832
9Andijan26612836:3630
10Bunyodkor26791027:3830
11Qizilqum26691125:3427
12Olympic26671322:3825
13Metallurg Bekabad26314922:3023
14Lok. Tashkent26561528:4421