Sport Picks
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbekistan
Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
5'
5'
Toshmirzaev B.
Assist: Pletnev D.
14'
14'
Abdikholikov B.
Assist: Otubanjo Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Krivokapic M. In: Rakhmanov S.
Out: Krivokapic M.
AI Match Summary
Nasaf Qarshi in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nasaf Qarshi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Bunyodkor haven't matched Nasaf Qarshi's recent run of results.
- Nasaf Qarshi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Bunyodkor
3:0
Jul 16, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf Qarshi
2:2
May 10, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Bunyodkor
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf Qarshi
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bunyodkor Compare
Top Goalscorer Toshmirzaev B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdikholikov B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Otubanjo Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bunyodkor 10 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bunyodkor Nasaf Qarshi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Bunyodkor scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Nasaf Qarshi conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Difficult form: Nasaf Qarshi registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bunyodkor VS Nasaf Qarshi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bunyodkor
(Home) 15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
20 Aug
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
20 Aug
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Kokand 1912
08 Aug
Bunyodkor
2 : 3 OKMK
26 Jul
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 3
Nasaf Qarshi
(Away) 16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
03 Aug
OKMK
1 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 49:17 | 48 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 37:19 | 46 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 36:27 | 35 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31:27 | 34 |
| 6 | OKMK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29:28 | 32 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 29:20 | 31 |
| 8 | Andijan | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:24 | 30 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 37:41 | 28 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 20:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17:29 | 21 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19:29 | 20 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 20:35 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10:42 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
