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Buochs vs Zug

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buochs play Zug in the 1.Liga Classic Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Buochs averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Zug averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Buochs won 1, Zug won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Buochs and 1.56 for Zug. This points to a Buochs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Buochs
27%
Draws
36%
Zug
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Buochs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Buochs picked up more points recently compared to Zug.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Buochs Clean Sheet 15%
Zug Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buochs Zug
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Buochs vs Zug
1:3
Sep 24, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Zug vs Buochs
0:0
May 14, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Buochs vs Zug
1:4
Nov 6, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Zug vs Buochs
1:5
Mar 20, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Zug vs Buochs
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buochs 36 / 100
Zug 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buochs Zug

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Buochs or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Buochs attacking → ← attacking Zug

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buochs scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Zug let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Buochs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zug lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 39
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Grasshopper II30193869:3560
2Langenthal30177663:3758
3Courtetelle30168653:3356
4Muttenz30149764:4651
5Concordia301361162:5045
6Solothurn301361154:4745
7Wohlen301271144:4243
8Schotz301261263:6542
9Black Stars301251354:6741
10Munsingen301081244:4738
11Zug309101141:5137
12Bassecourt30971438:4734
13Buochs301041637:5234
14Delemont307101347:5531
15Besa Biel/Bienne30841840:7228
16Old Boys30741947:7425