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Bupolsa vs Becerril

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between Bupolsa and Becerril finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bupolsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bupolsa
20%
Draws
51%
Becerril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Becerril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bupolsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bupolsa Clean Sheet 68%
Becerril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bupolsa Becerril
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.77 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Becerril
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Bupolsa
0:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Bupolsa
2:1
Oct 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Becerril
2:1
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Bupolsa
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bupolsa 41 / 100
Becerril 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bupolsa Becerril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bupolsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Becerril let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Bupolsa found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Bupolsa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Becerril
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bupolsa

(Home)
20 Jun
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 0
Bupolsa
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0
Bupolsa
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0
Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1
La Baneza
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Becerril

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
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