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Bupolsa vs Penaranda de Bracamonte

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between Bupolsa and Penaranda de Bracamonte finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bupolsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bupolsa
20%
Draws
51%
Penaranda de Bracamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penaranda de Bracamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bupolsa come out ahead of Penaranda de Bracamonte on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Bupolsa Clean Sheet 20%
Penaranda de Bracamonte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bupolsa Penaranda de Bracamonte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.77 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Penaranda de Bracamonte vs Bupolsa
0:0
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Penaranda de Bracamonte
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bupolsa 31 / 100
Penaranda de Bracamonte 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bupolsa Penaranda de Bracamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bupolsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penaranda de Bracamonte conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Bupolsa scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Bupolsa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bupolsa VS Penaranda de Bracamonte
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
13% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bupolsa

(Home)
20 Jun
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 0
Bupolsa
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0
Bupolsa
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0
Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1
La Baneza
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Penaranda de Bracamonte

(Away)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0
Bupolsa
30 May
Almazan
4 : 2
Penaranda de Bracamonte
22 May
Penaranda de Bracamonte
1 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
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