Sport Picks
Burgess Hill vs Leatherhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 
Match Events
20'
20'
Whelpdale Ch.
32'
32'
Waters M.
46'
46'
Igozouln A.
AI Match Summary
The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Burgess Hill and Leatherhead finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leatherhead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Leatherhead carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Burgess Hill taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Leatherhead here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 15%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burgess Hill | Leatherhead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Leatherhead
2:2
Mar 9, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Leatherhead
0:3
Nov 21, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Burgess Hill
3:0
Apr 12, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Leatherhead
0:1
Feb 7, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Burgess Hill
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burgess Hill Compare
Top Goalscorer Whelpdale Ch.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Leatherhead Compare
Top Goalscorer Waters M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Igozouln A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burgess Hill 66 / 100
Leatherhead 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burgess Hill Leatherhead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burgess Hill scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Leatherhead has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Burgess Hill went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Burgess Hill VS Leatherhead
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Burgess Hill
(Home) 03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1 Maldon & Tiptree
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2 Winslow United
19 Sept
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Burgess Hill
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3 Burgess Hill
12 Sept
Burgess Hill
2 : 2 Ramsgate
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1 Maldon & Tiptree
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2 Winslow United
12 Sept
Burgess Hill
2 : 2 Ramsgate
05 Sept
Burgess Hill
0 : 0 Jersey Bulls
28 Aug
Burgess Hill
2 : 1 Dartford
Page 1 of 3
Leatherhead
(Away) 03 Oct
Leatherhead
1 : 0 Hanworth Villa
26 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 2 Ramsgate
22 Sept
Three Bridges
3 : 3 Leatherhead
19 Sept
Kingstonian
0 : 1 Leatherhead
15 Sept
Leatherhead
0 : 0 Whyteleafe
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Three Bridges
3 : 3 Leatherhead
19 Sept
Kingstonian
0 : 1 Leatherhead
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2 Leatherhead
29 Aug
Eastbourne Borough
0 : 1 Leatherhead
15 Aug
Burgess Hill
2 : 2 Leatherhead
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Welling | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25:12 | 21 |
| 3 | Dartford | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Carshalton | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 5 | Lewes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Dulwich Hamlet | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Eastbourne Borough | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Leatherhead | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 10 | St. Albans | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 11 | Burgess Hill | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Cray Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Chatham | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Cheshunt | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Wingate & Finchley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Aveley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Brentwood | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Maldon & Tiptree | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14:31 | 9 |
| 19 | Whyteleafe | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16:28 | 5 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
