Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burghausen vs Bayern II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 Wacker Arena, Burghausen
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Agbaje N. S.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 game between Burghausen and Bayern II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burghausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Burghausen
20%
Draws
47%
Bayern II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Burghausen's 1.59 goals per match outpaces what Bayern II have produced (1.13).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 16%
Bayern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burghausen Bayern II
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Bayern II
2:0
Apr 1, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Bayern II
1:0
Dec 5, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayern II vs Burghausen
3:0
Nov 2, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayern II vs Burghausen
5:2
Jul 18, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Bayern II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbaje N. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bayern II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burghausen 31 / 100
Bayern II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burghausen Bayern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burghausen's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bayern II conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Burghausen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burghausen VS Bayern II
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burghausen

(Home)
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Burghausen
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2
Landsberg
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
29 Aug
Burghausen
4 : 5
Vilzing
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Bayern II

(Away)
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2
Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayern II
0 : 0
Augsburg II
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
04 Sept
Bayern II
3 : 0
Vfb Eichstatt
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2
Bayern II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)