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Burghausen vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern Wacker Arena, Burghausen
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Rehwald J.
52' Event
Omenlo B.
71' Event
Schwarzensteiner B.

AI Match Summary

TSV Schwaben Augsburg in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Schwaben Augsburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Burghausen
20%
Draws
29%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burghausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Schwaben Augsburg have won more games recently than Burghausen.
  • Burghausen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 14%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burghausen TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Burghausen
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Burghausen
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schwarzensteiner B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Rehwald J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omenlo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burghausen 84 / 100
TSV Schwaben Augsburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burghausen TSV Schwaben Augsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burghausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Schwaben Augsburg let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Burghausen's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Burghausen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burghausen VS TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burghausen

(Home)
03 Oct
Vfb Eichstatt
1 : 0
Burghausen
26 Sept
Burghausen
3 : 1
Munich 1860
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Burghausen
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2
Landsberg
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TSV Schwaben Augsburg

(Away)
03 Oct
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
3 : 1
Vilzing
25 Sept
Bayern II
4 : 3
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
19 Sept
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1 : 1
Landsberg
15 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
11 Sept
Munich 1860
3 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
4 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
5 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
10 Bayern II 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)