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Burgos CF B vs La Granja

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between Burgos CF B and La Granja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Burgos CF B
30%
Draws
16%
La Granja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Burgos CF B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burgos CF B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 18%
La Granja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF B La Granja
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.18 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs La Granja
1:0
Dec 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Burgos CF B
2:1
Feb 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs La Granja
2:1
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Burgos CF B
0:1
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Burgos CF B
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF B 41 / 100
La Granja 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF B La Granja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burgos CF B scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

La Granja let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Burgos CF B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF B VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF B

(Home)
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
03 May
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0
Burgos CF B
26 Apr
Burgos CF B
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
18 Apr
Atletico Astorga
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
12 Apr
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Coruxo FC
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La Granja

(Away)
21 Aug
La Granja
1 : 4
Gimnastica Segoviana
20 Jun
Becerril
2 : 1
La Granja
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0
La Granja
29 May
La Granja
0 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
22 May
Santa Marta Tormes
0 : 0
La Granja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 20 14 2 4 29:11 44
2 Atletico Astorga 20 10 5 5 26:11 35
3 Leonesa B 20 9 8 3 25:18 35
4 La Virgen 20 8 7 5 22:18 31
5 Atletico Tordesillas 20 7 5 8 21:22 26
6 Bembibre 20 6 8 6 17:20 26
7 La Baneza 20 6 7 7 23:23 25
8 Salamanca CF UDS B 20 4 10 6 17:26 22
9 Santa Marta Tormes 20 5 6 9 14:17 21
10 Penaranda de Bracamonte 20 4 4 12 13:28 16
11 Becerril 20 3 6 11 10:23 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 22 18 3 1 54:10 57
2 Burgos CF B 22 11 7 4 33:15 40
3 Numancia B 22 12 3 7 40:34 39
4 Arandina 22 10 6 6 41:31 36
5 Mirandes B 22 8 9 5 30:21 33
6 Real Avila 22 9 4 9 25:23 31
7 Almazan 22 9 4 9 26:31 31
8 Colegios Diocesanos 22 7 2 13 19:42 23
9 La Granja 22 6 4 12 24:30 22
10 Real Burgos CF 22 4 7 11 18:37 19
11 CD Cebrerena 22 5 4 13 18:36 19
12 Bupolsa 22 4 5 13 17:35 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)