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Burgos CF B vs Rayo Cantabria Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lecic L.
32' Event
Mascaro P.
35' Event
Ares J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Burgos CF B and Rayo Cantabria finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Burgos CF B
20%
Draws
23%
Rayo Cantabria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo Cantabria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF B taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF B Rayo Cantabria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.21 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF B vs Rayo Cantabria
4:4
Sep 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Burgos CF B
0:0
May 14, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF B vs Rayo Cantabria
3:0
Jan 15, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Burgos CF B
1:1
Feb 13, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Rayo Cantabria vs Burgos CF B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgos CF B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuenca Martinez H. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Rayo Cantabria Compare

Top Goalscorer Mascaro P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Franco S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF B 95 / 100
Rayo Cantabria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF B Rayo Cantabria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgos CF B scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Rayo Cantabria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Burgos CF B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF B VS Rayo Cantabria
1 Goals Scored 2
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF B

(Home)
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Cantabria

(Away)
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
29 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)