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Burgos CF B vs Sarriana

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Claveria M.
85' Event
Vilarino J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sarriana in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Burgos CF B
15%
Draws
39%
Sarriana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Burgos CF B haven't matched Sarriana's recent run of results.
  • Sarriana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 20%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF B Sarriana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF B vs Sarriana
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Burgos CF B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgos CF B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sarriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Claveria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF B 28 / 100
Sarriana 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF B Sarriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarriana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burgos CF B scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Sarriana let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Burgos CF B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF B VS Sarriana
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF B

(Home)
03 May
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0
Burgos CF B
26 Apr
Burgos CF B
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
18 Apr
Atletico Astorga
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
12 Apr
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Coruxo FC
05 Apr
Burgos CF B
1 : 4
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

Sarriana

(Away)
03 May
Sarriana
3 : 4
Rayo Cantabria
26 Apr
Atletico Astorga
1 : 0
Sarriana
19 Apr
Sarriana
0 : 1
Marino De Luanco
12 Apr
Bergantinos
0 : 1
Sarriana
04 Apr
Sarriana
4 : 0
UD Samano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)