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Burgos CF vs Cuellar Balompie

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 game between Burgos CF and Cuellar Balompie finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Burgos CF
20%
Draws
7%
Cuellar Balompie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Burgos CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 20%
Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Cuellar Balompie
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 1
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 24
Goals Scored 1.5 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.65 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF vs Cuellar Balompie
4:0
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Cuellar Balompie vs Burgos CF
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 85 / 100
Cuellar Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Cuellar Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuellar Balompie has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Burgos CF's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Solid form: Burgos CF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
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Cuellar Balompie

(Away)
19 May
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 1
Unami CP
12 May
La Granja
1 : 1
Cuellar Balompie
05 May
Burgos CF
4 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
27 Apr
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 5
Real Avila
20 Apr
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)