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Burgos CF vs Granada CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio El Plantío, Burgos
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgos CF host Granada CF in the LaLiga2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Burgos CF have averaged 1.24 scored and 0.72 conceded recently, against Granada CF's 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Burgos CF slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.13) point toward Burgos CF. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Burgos CF
20%
Draws
23%
Granada CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Granada CF haven't matched Burgos CF's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Burgos CF a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 20%
Granada CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Granada CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 LaLiga2
Granada CF vs Burgos CF
0:1
Sep 22, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Granada CF
1:1
Jan 10, 2025 LaLiga2
Granada CF vs Burgos CF
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Granada CF
2:2
Mar 4, 2023 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Granada CF
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 85 / 100
Granada CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Granada CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burgos CF scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Granada CF has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Burgos CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS Granada CF
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
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Granada CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Real Sociedad B
2 : 3
Granada CF
26 Sept
Granada CF
2 : 3
FC Andorra
20 Sept
Leganes
3 : 2
Granada CF
12 Sept
Granada CF
1 : 1
Albacete
06 Sept
Eibar
3 : 0
Granada CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
6 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
12 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
13 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
15 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
16 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
17 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
18 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
19 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
20 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 10:16 6
21 AD Ceuta 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
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