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Burgos CF vs Sabadell - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio El Plantío, Burgos
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgos CF host Sabadell in the LaLiga2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Burgos CF at 1.29 goals for, 0.71 against; Sabadell at 1.49 for, 0.89 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.06) point toward Burgos CF. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Burgos CF
30%
Draws
31%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Burgos CF haven't matched Sabadell's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 20%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Sabadell
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 16 17
Draws 8 12
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.49
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 40 / 100
Sabadell 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Sabadell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burgos CF scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Burgos CF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sabadell's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 37 matches.

Sabadell lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS Sabadell
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
Page 1 of 6

Sabadell

(Away)
10 Oct
AD Ceuta
1 : 2
Sabadell
04 Oct
Sabadell
0 : 0
FC Andorra
26 Sept
Celta Vigo B
1 : 1
Sabadell
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
6 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
12 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
13 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
15 Cordoba 8 3 0 5 13:18 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
21 AD Ceuta 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)