Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Chang Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Emaviwe J.
Assist: Promsawat M.
28' Event
Mueanta S.
Assist: Zulj R.
31' Event
Zulj R.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 game between Buriram United F.C. and Chiangrai Utd finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buriram United F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Buriram United F.C.
22%
Draws
18%
Chiangrai Utd
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Buriram United F.C. are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Buriram United F.C. have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 28 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd
8:1
Aug 31, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Buriram United F.C.
1:2
Apr 9, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd
2:1
Jan 15, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Chiangrai Utd
8:0
Aug 25, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Buriram United F.C.
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Chotmuangpak T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mueanta S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Emaviwe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 68 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Chiangrai Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C.'s goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Chiangrai Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Buriram United F.C. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Chiangrai Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 17%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423