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Buriram United F.C. vs Lamphun Warrior

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Chang Arena, Buriram
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Zulj P. In: Causic G.
Out: Zulj P.
46'
Sub
Edu Mancha In: Dougall K.
Out: Edu Mancha
46'
Sub
Jaided S. In: Fandi I.
Out: Jaided S.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Buriram United F.C. and Lamphun Warrior finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Buriram United F.C.
6%
Draws
4%
Lamphun Warrior
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Buriram United F.C. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 27 8
Draws 4 16
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.63 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram United F.C.
2:3
May 31, 2025 League Cup
Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram United F.C.
0:2
Mar 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram United F.C.
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulj R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Suriyachai S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 95 / 100
Lamphun Warrior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Lamphun Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C. scored in 92% of their last 38 games.

Buriram United F.C. went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lamphun Warrior has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Lamphun Warrior
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 17%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Buriram United F.C.

(Home)
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 8

Lamphun Warrior

(Away)
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Apr
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)