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Stadium Background

Burkina Faso U17 vs Mali U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Stade Larbi Zaouli
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Kone A.
42' Event
Fane S.
Assist: Camara A.
45'
Barro F.

AI Match Summary

Mali U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burkina Faso U17
33%
Draws
27%
Mali U17
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Burkina Faso U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali U17 have won more games recently than Burkina Faso U17.
  • Model gives Burkina Faso U17 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Burkina Faso U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burkina Faso U17 Mali U17
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 15 23
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
5:2
Apr 15, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burkina Faso U17 vs Mali U17
0:2
Feb 24, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
0:2
May 18, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burkina Faso U17 vs Mali U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burkina Faso U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mali U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fane S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Traore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso U17 38 / 100
Mali U17 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burkina Faso U17 Mali U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Burkina Faso U17's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Burkina Faso U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mali U17 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso U17 VS Mali U17
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco U173
South Africa U171
Ivory Coast U171
Senegal U170
Burkina Faso U176
Zambia U171
Tunisia U171
Mali U172
Semi-finals
Morocco U171
Ivory Coast U170
Burkina Faso U170
Mali U172
Final
Morocco U171
Mali U170
Ivory Coast U172
Burkina Faso U171