Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burkina Faso U17 vs South Africa U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bohloko N.
Penalty Missed
65' Event
Bara I.
Assist: Tapsoba A.
66'
Sub
Diaby A. In: Nana K.
Out: Diaby A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Burkina Faso U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Burkina Faso U17
15%
Draws
17%
South Africa U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burkina Faso U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burkina Faso U17 come out ahead of South Africa U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Burkina Faso U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Burkina Faso U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burkina Faso U17, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Burkina Faso U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Burkina Faso U17 Clean Sheet 16%
South Africa U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burkina Faso U17 South Africa U17
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 17 10
Draws 1 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burkina Faso U17 vs South Africa U17
2:0
Sep 11, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burkina Faso U17 vs South Africa U17
2:0
Aug 28, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
South Africa U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burkina Faso U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bara I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tapsoba A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

South Africa U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso U17 84 / 100
South Africa U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burkina Faso U17 South Africa U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burkina Faso U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Africa U17 conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Burkina Faso U17 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Burkina Faso U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso U17 VS South Africa U17
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burkina Faso U17

(Home)
21 Nov
Italy U17
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
15 Nov
Germany U17
0 : 1
Burkina Faso U17
11 Nov
Burkina Faso U17
2 : 0
Tajikistan U17
08 Nov
Czech Republic U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 7

South Africa U17

(Away)
20 May
South Africa U17
1 : 3
Ghana U17
17 May
South Africa U17
0 : 2
Algeria U17
14 May
Senegal U17
1 : 2
South Africa U17
15 Nov
Japan U17
3 : 0
South Africa U17
09 Nov
Italy U17
3 : 1
South Africa U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Uganda U17 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U17 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Egypt U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Cameroon U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U17 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Gambia U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Somalia U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Angola U17 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Central Africa U17 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)