Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burkina Faso vs Guinea Bissau

World World

Friendly International Stade du 4 Aout
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kabore P.
41' Event
Ouattara Da.
61' Event
Kabore E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Burkina Faso and Guinea Bissau finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burkina Faso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Burkina Faso
11%
Draws
9%
Guinea Bissau
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Burkina Faso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Guinea Bissau haven't matched Burkina Faso's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Burkina Faso a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 68%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burkina Faso Guinea Bissau
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 17 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.38 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Burkina Faso vs Guinea Bissau
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
Burkina Faso vs Guinea Bissau
5:0
Mar 24, 2025 World Championship
Guinea Bissau vs Burkina Faso
1:2
Nov 17, 2023 World Championship
Burkina Faso vs Guinea Bissau
1:1
Mar 22, 2018 Friendly International
Guinea Bissau vs Burkina Faso
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burkina Faso Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabore E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kabore P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Guinea Bissau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso 86 / 100
Guinea Bissau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burkina Faso Guinea Bissau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guinea Bissau conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Burkina Faso found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Burkina Faso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso VS Guinea Bissau
2.38 Goals Scored 0.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%