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Burlades vs Cirbonero

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mahugo M.
26' Event
Mahugo M.
55' Event
Jimenez L. L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Burlades and Cirbonero finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burlades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Burlades
30%
Draws
39%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cirbonero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cirbonero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cirbonero are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Burlades Clean Sheet 20%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burlades Cirbonero
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Cirbonero
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Burlades
1:1
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Burlades
0:1
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Cirbonero
1:4
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Cirbonero
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burlades Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahugo M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cirauqui J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Cirbonero Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez L. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burlades 28 / 100
Cirbonero 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burlades Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cirbonero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Burlades scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cirbonero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Burlades remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cirbonero
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burlades

(Home)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 6

Cirbonero

(Away)
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
03 May
Huarte
2 : 0
Cirbonero
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)