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Burnie United vs Devonport U21

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Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Burnie United and Devonport U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Devonport U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Burnie United
15%
Draws
51%
Devonport U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Devonport U21 come out ahead of Burnie United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Devonport U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Devonport U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Devonport U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Devonport U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 22
Draws 2 2
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 2.3 4.7
Goals Conceded 3.87 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Devonport U21
0:9
May 23, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Devonport U21
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Devonport U21 vs Burnie United
9:1
Aug 30, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Devonport U21
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Devonport U21 vs Burnie United
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 10 / 100
Devonport U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Devonport U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Burnie United scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Devonport U21 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Burnie United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Devonport U21
2.13 Goals Scored 4.5
4 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnie United

(Home)
29 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 3
Burnie United
22 Aug
Burnie United
3 : 0
Launceston City U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Burnie United
4 : 10
Northern Rangers
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
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Devonport U21

(Away)
05 Sept
Northern Rangers
3 : 1
Devonport U21
29 Aug
Launceston United U21
1 : 11
Devonport U21
22 Aug
Somerset
0 : 8
Devonport U21
15 Aug
Devonport U21
6 : 1
Riverside Olympic U21
08 Aug
Devonport U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)