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Burnie United vs Launceston City U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

Burnie United in this Tasmania Northern Championship matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnie United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Burnie United
17%
Draws
70%
Launceston City U21
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Launceston City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Burnie United haven't matched Launceston City U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Launceston City U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Launceston City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Launceston City U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 0
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United
4:3
Mar 28, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston City U21
5:1
Aug 2, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United
4:0
May 31, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston City U21
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 14 / 100
Launceston City U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Launceston City U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Burnie United scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Launceston City U21 conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Launceston City U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Launceston City U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Rangers13120176:1536
2Devonport U2113112068:1735
3Ulverstone U211363437:2821
4Somerset1352630:3117
5Launceston City U211350823:2915
6Burnie United1442833:5614
7Riverside Olympic U211340920:4712
8Launceston United U211411128:724