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Burnie United vs Northern Rangers

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northern Rangers in this Tasmania Northern Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Burnie United
6%
Draws
90%
Northern Rangers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Northern Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Burnie United.
  • Model gives Northern Rangers a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Northern Rangers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Northern Rangers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 28
Draws 3 0
Losses 20 1
Goals Scored 2.13 5.75
Goals Conceded 3.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 5.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Northern Rangers
0:6
Apr 18, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Burnie United
11:2
Jul 26, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Burnie United
5:2
May 24, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Burnie United
6:0
Mar 15, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Northern Rangers
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 10 / 100
Northern Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Northern Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.60 goals.

Burnie United scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Northern Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Burnie United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Northern Rangers
2.13 Goals Scored 5.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnie United

(Home)
18 Jul
Burnie United
0 : 9
Devonport U21
11 Jul
Launceston United U21
3 : 3
Burnie United
04 Jul
Burnie United
1 : 0
Riverside Olympic U21
27 Jun
Burnie United
0 : 6
Northern Rangers
19 Jun
Ulverstone U21
4 : 2
Burnie United
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Northern Rangers

(Away)
18 Jul
Northern Rangers
13 : 0
Riverside Olympic U21
11 Jul
Northern Rangers
5 : 0
Launceston City U21
04 Jul
Ulverstone U21
1 : 4
Northern Rangers
27 Jun
Burnie United
0 : 6
Northern Rangers
20 Jun
Northern Rangers
10 : 2
Somerset
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Rangers14130189:1539
2Devonport U2114122077:1738
3Ulverstone U211473438:2824
4Somerset1462638:3320
5Launceston City U211450923:3015
6Burnie United1542933:6514
7Riverside Olympic U2114401020:6012
8Launceston United U2115111310:804
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)