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Burnie United vs Northern Rangers

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

Northern Rangers in this Tasmania Northern Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Burnie United
15%
Draws
61%
Northern Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northern Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Northern Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Burnie United.
  • Model gives Northern Rangers a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Northern Rangers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Northern Rangers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 29
Draws 2 0
Losses 20 1
Goals Scored 2.3 5.7
Goals Conceded 3.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Northern Rangers
4:10
Jun 27, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Northern Rangers
0:6
Apr 18, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Burnie United
11:2
Jul 26, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Burnie United
5:2
May 24, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Burnie United
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 10 / 100
Northern Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Northern Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 9.20 goals.

Burnie United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Northern Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Burnie United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Northern Rangers
2.13 Goals Scored 6.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnie United

(Home)
29 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 3
Burnie United
22 Aug
Burnie United
3 : 0
Launceston City U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Burnie United
4 : 10
Northern Rangers
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
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Northern Rangers

(Away)
05 Sept
Northern Rangers
3 : 1
Devonport U21
29 Aug
Northern Rangers
4 : 0
Ulverstone U21
22 Aug
Northern Rangers
6 : 1
Launceston United U21
15 Aug
Somerset
0 : 11
Northern Rangers
08 Aug
Burnie United
4 : 10
Northern Rangers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)