Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burnley U18 vs Leeds U18

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Taylor W.
Assist: Savage T.
19' Event
Bennett O.
Assist: Lane F.
22' Event
Taylor W.
Assist: Lewis J.

AI Match Summary

Burnley U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnley U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Burnley U18
20%
Draws
34%
Leeds U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burnley U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnley U18 have won more games recently than Leeds U18.
  • Burnley U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Burnley U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U18 Leeds U18
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 2.06 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Burnley U18
1:3
May 9, 2026 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Leeds U18
7:4
Dec 16, 2025 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Burnley U18
2:5
Apr 2, 2022 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Burnley U18
6:1
Sep 11, 2021 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Leeds U18
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor W.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lewis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Leeds U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stockton T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U18 83 / 100
Leeds U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U18 Leeds U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U18 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Leeds U18 let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Burnley U18 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U18 VS Leeds U18
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2
Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
Page 1 of 7

Leeds U18

(Away)
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1
Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1
Leeds U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)