Sport Picks

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Burnley U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ayari H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Sheffield Utd U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Burnley U23
20%
Draws
33%
Sheffield Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burnley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheffield Utd U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Burnley U23 taking it.
  • Sheffield Utd U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sheffield Utd U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Burnley U23 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Sheffield Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U23 Sheffield Utd U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2022 Premier League Cup
Burnley U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23
0:1
Oct 11, 2021 Premier League Cup
Sheffield Utd U23 vs Burnley U23
0:3
Jan 13, 2020 Professional Development League
Burnley U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23
2:0
Sep 30, 2019 Professional Development League
Sheffield Utd U23 vs Burnley U23
0:3
Dec 17, 2018 Professional Development League
Sheffield Utd U23 vs Burnley U23
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U23 65 / 100
Sheffield Utd U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U23 Sheffield Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sheffield Utd U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Burnley U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U23 VS Sheffield Utd U23
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0
Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2
West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

Sheffield Utd U23

(Away)
09 May
Sheffield Utd U23
0 : 1
Bristol City U23
03 May
Ipswich U23
3 : 0
Sheffield Utd U23
26 Apr
Sheffield Utd U23
1 : 1
Millwall U23
11 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd U23
05 Apr
QPR U23
0 : 1
Sheffield Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)