Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burnley vs Charlton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Turf Moor, Burnley
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burnley host Charlton in the Championship. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Charlton have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Burnley have conceded 2 and scored 0.96. Past meetings favor Burnley slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2016, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Charlton. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Burnley
35%
Draws
32%
Charlton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charlton come out ahead of Burnley on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Burnley's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burnley have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Burnley Clean Sheet 16%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley Charlton
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 1 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.96 0.97
Goals Conceded 2 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 Championship
Charlton vs Burnley
0:3
Dec 19, 2015 Championship
Burnley vs Charlton
4:0
Mar 22, 2014 Championship
Charlton vs Burnley
0:3
Sep 28, 2013 Championship
Burnley vs Charlton
3:0
Mar 2, 2013 Championship
Charlton vs Burnley
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley 48 / 100
Charlton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley Charlton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burnley scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Charlton let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Burnley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burnley VS Charlton
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley

(Home)
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6

Charlton

(Away)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
QPR
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0
Charlton
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)