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Burnley W vs Sunderland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 Turf Moor, Burnley
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Hughes E.
37'
Corbyn M.
38' Event
Hughes E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 game between Burnley W and Sunderland W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Burnley W
30%
Draws
58%
Sunderland W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunderland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Burnley W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Burnley W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Burnley W Clean Sheet 20%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley W Sunderland W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 21 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.6 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 WSL 2
Burnley W vs Sunderland W
1:2
Apr 11, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Burnley W vs Sunderland W
1:0
Sep 20, 2020 Women's National League North
Sunderland W vs Burnley W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sunderland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley W 32 / 100
Sunderland W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley W Sunderland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland W has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Attacking prowess: Burnley W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Burnley W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley W VS Sunderland W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
26 Sept
Burnley W
0 : 0
Bristol City W
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0
Burnley W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
04 Sept
Watford W
0 : 0
Burnley W
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Sunderland W

(Away)
04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1
Leicester W
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Sunderland W 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Ipswich W 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Nottingham W 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Wolverhampton W 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Bristol City W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 Southampton FC W 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
8 Leicester W 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
9 Sheffield Utd W 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
10 Watford W 5 0 3 2 6:11 3
11 Burnley W 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
12 Durham W 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)