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Burreli vs Kastrioti

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kapllani D.
22' Event
Kapllani D.
33' Event
Xhabrahimi A.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Burreli and Kastrioti finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Burreli
35%
Draws
35%
Kastrioti
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Burreli haven't matched Kastrioti's recent run of results.
  • Burreli are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Burreli Clean Sheet 15%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Kastrioti
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Kastrioti
2:2
Mar 18, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Burreli
5:2
Dec 13, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Kastrioti
0:0
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Burreli vs Kastrioti
5:2
Sep 27, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Burreli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Xhabrahimi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapllani D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 41 / 100
Kastrioti 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Kastrioti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Burreli scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Kastrioti conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Burreli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Kastrioti
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
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Kastrioti

(Away)
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0
Kastrioti
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Besa Kavaje 3 2 1 0 12:3 7
2 Pogradeci 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Iliria Kruja 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
5 Bylis 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Kastrioti 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Sopoti Librazhd 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
8 Kukesi 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
9 Flamurtari 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
10 Burreli 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
11 Beselidhja Lezha 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
12 KF Oriku 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)