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Burreli vs KF Valbona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Balla D.
51' Event
Farruku F.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Rroku G.

AI Match Summary

Burreli in this Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burreli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Burreli
20%
Draws
0%
KF Valbona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burreli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • KF Valbona haven't matched Burreli's recent run of results.
  • Burreli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burreli have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Burreli Clean Sheet 20%
KF Valbona Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli KF Valbona
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs KF Valbona
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
KF Valbona vs Burreli
0:4
Aug 31, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs KF Valbona
0:0
Oct 18, 2023 Albanian Cup
Burreli vs KF Valbona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Rroku G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

KF Valbona Compare

Top Goalscorer Balla D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 40 / 100
KF Valbona 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli KF Valbona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burreli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Valbona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

KF Valbona lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Burreli scored in 63% of their last 40 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
07 Oct
Burreli
2 : 3
Eagle FA
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 8

KF Valbona

(Away)
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
20 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 3
Besa Kavaje
13 Apr
Burreli
2 : 1
KF Valbona
05 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 2
Pogradeci
30 Mar
Lushnja
4 : 1
KF Valbona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)