Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burreli vs Laci

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Liri Ballabani Stadium, Burrel
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Muhammad A. U.
63' Event
Nerguti H.
90' Event
Hoti R.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Burreli and Laci finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Laci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Burreli
20%
Draws
51%
Laci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Laci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Burreli haven't matched Laci's recent run of results.
  • Laci are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Laci have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Burreli Clean Sheet 10%
Laci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Laci
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 23
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Burreli
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Laci
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Burreli
4:0
Apr 25, 2009 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Burreli
2:0
Nov 29, 2008 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Laci
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoti R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Laci Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhammad A. U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nerguti H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 14 / 100
Laci 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Laci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laci let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Burreli found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Burreli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Laci
1.14 Goals Scored 2.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Burreli
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
04 Apr
Laci
3 : 1
Burreli
Page 1 of 6

Laci

(Away)
15 Aug
KF Tirana
2 : 2
Laci
29 Jul
Vllaznia
3 : 0
Laci
25 Jul
Laci
3 : 1
Kukesi
11 Jul
Laci
4 : 1
Vora
08 Jul
Besa Kavaje
1 : 0
Laci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)