Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burreli vs Pogradeci

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Liri Ballabani Stadium, Burrel
Burreli Logo

Burreli

0 - 3
FT
Pogradeci Logo

Pogradeci

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Zguro V.
35' Event
Lleshaj G.
90' Event
Kazeem S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Burreli and Pogradeci finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogradeci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Burreli
35%
Draws
37%
Pogradeci
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Burreli haven't matched Pogradeci's recent run of results.
  • Pogradeci are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Burreli Clean Sheet 20%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Pogradeci
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Pogradeci
0:3
Feb 15, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Burreli
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Pogradeci
2:0
Apr 24, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Burreli vs Pogradeci
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Pogradeci
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burreli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pogradeci Compare

Top Goalscorer Zguro V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lleshaj G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 24 / 100
Pogradeci 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Pogradeci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogradeci has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Burreli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Burreli's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Pogradeci
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
Page 1 of 6

Pogradeci

(Away)
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)