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Stadium Background

Gemlikspor vs Kestel Cilekspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ekinci S.
75' Event
Yildiz A. K.
Assist: Genc M.
83' Event
Genc M.
Assist: Topatar I.

AI Match Summary

Gemlikspor in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gemlikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gemlikspor
17%
Draws
13%
Kestel Cilekspor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Gemlikspor have won more games recently than Kestel Cilekspor.
  • Win probability leans Gemlikspor's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kestel Cilekspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Kestel Cilekspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Kestel Cilekspor
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Kestel Cilekspor vs Gemlikspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildiz A. K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Genc M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kestel Cilekspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekinci S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 67 / 100
Kestel Cilekspor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Kestel Cilekspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Gemlikspor found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Kestel Cilekspor has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Gemlikspor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Kestel Cilekspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
05 Apr
Gemlikspor
2 : 1
Bulvarspor
28 Mar
Kucukcekmece
3 : 0
Gemlikspor
24 Mar
Gemlikspor
3 : 2
Yesil Yalova FK
Page 1 of 6

Kestel Cilekspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Kestel Cilekspor
1 : 2
Inegol Kafkas
05 Apr
Kestel Cilekspor
2 : 0
Silivrispor
29 Mar
Galata Spor Kulubu
2 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
24 Mar
Kestel Cilekspor
1 : 2
Bulvarspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Gemlikspor301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)